CHALLENGES

What we typically see

The complexity of modern media has outpaced spreadsheet attribution and dashboard metrics. The signal arrives too late, ignores offline spend, or doesn't hold up when leadership asks how it was calculated.

Attribution that misses the full picture

Click-based models overweight the final interaction and ignore offline channels, brand spend, and long-term effects.

Budget decisions made on incomplete data

Channels that drive real growth get underfunded while spend that looks good in a dashboard keeps getting renewed.

No confidence in the numbers

Marketing leadership can't defend budget allocation decisions because the measurement doesn't hold up to scrutiny.

Privacy erosion undermining measurement

User-level tracking is becoming harder to rely on at scale, making traditional attribution models less reliable over time.

Approach

How we work

We build marketing measurement and optimization systems, combining Bayesian Media Mix Modeling, Multi-Touch Attribution, and Campaign Intelligence to quantify the contribution of every channel to business outcomes.

01

Data collection, preparation, and source system integration

02

Model development, calibration, and validation against historical outcomes

03

Budget allocation and scenario planning tools with calibrated uncertainty

04

MLOps infrastructure that refreshes models as market conditions and media mix shift

Four coworkers in a modern office, one standing and explaining while others sit at desks with computers.

The output is a system your team uses every budget cycle to test incrementality and optimize where the next dollar goes, along with the modeling and MLOps practices that make every subsequent refresh faster to ship.

Applications

Across industries and teams

Variant

Built for

Variant

Customer Marketing Effectiveness

Built for

Marketing and revenue teams measuring channel impact and optimizing spend across paid, owned, and earned media

Variant

Enrollment Marketing Effectiveness

Built for

Higher Education teams measuring recruitment marketing impact and optimizing spend against enrollment outcomes

Variant

Donor Marketing Effectiveness

Built for

Higher Education advancement teams measuring what drives donor engagement and optimizing outreach to grow giving

Variant

Patient & Provider Marketing Effectiveness

Built for

Healthcare and life sciences teams measuring HCP and patient marketing impact and optimizing spend across channels

Accelerator

Media Mix Modeling Accelerator

For organizations whose MMM needs outgrow off-the-shelf tools, we deploy the Media Mix Modeling Accelerator, a production-ready Bayesian MMM system built on numpyro and OneSix's in-house modeling framework.

What's included

Custom bayesian MMM framework

A numpyro-based framework that estimates channel effects, adstocking, saturation, and seasonality in a single Bayesian inference pass, with full posteriors on every parameter.

Hierarchical and multi-group modeling

Grouped effects across regions, stores, or business units, with non-marketing covariates modeled inside the inference. Handles uneven cadences without manual alignment.

Constrained budget optimization

Recommended budget reallocations subject to real-world constraints. ROI with uncertainty bands and current-vs-recommended comparisons built for marketing stakeholders.

Production pipeline + MTA add-on

A recurring pipeline connected to your data and BI layer, with periodic retraining. For journey-level measurement alongside the macro view, we deliver MTA as an explainability-based framework.

Process

How it works

01

Assessment

Data audit, channel inventory, and outcome definition

02

Modeling

Model specification, calibration, and Bayesian inference

03

Validation

Backtesting against historical outcomes and uncertainty calibration

04

Deployment

Production pipeline, BI integration, and recurring refresh cadence

Proof & Perspective

From the field

Innovative thinking. Real outcomes.

Marketing Effectiveness

Boosting sales by 15% through marketing optimization for a spa franchise

Boosting sales by 15% through marketing optimization for a spa franchise

Marketing Effectiveness

Scaling multi-touch attribution to optimize pharmaceutical marketing impact

Scaling multi-touch attribution to optimize pharmaceutical marketing impact

Marketing Measurement

AI-Driven and Privacy-First: How Snowflake Powers Modern Marketing

AI-Driven and Privacy-First: How Snowflake Powers Modern Marketing

Marketing Measurement

Marketing Spend Optimization: Why AI Is the Key to Higher ROI

Marketing Spend Optimization: Why AI Is the Key to Higher ROI

FAQs

Questions we hear

What's the difference between MMM, MTA, and Campaign Intelligence?

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Each answers a different question. Media Mix Modeling quantifies the macro contribution of every channel, including offline and brand, to a business outcome and produces recommended budget allocations. Multi-Touch Attribution measures how channels interact along individual customer journeys and works best for digital, user-level data. Campaign Intelligence measures the performance of specific campaigns, creative, and audiences. Most engagements combine more than one.

How much data do we need?

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It depends on the approach. MMM typically requires two to three years of weekly or daily spend and outcome data plus non-marketing covariates. MTA needs digital event-level data with enough volume to identify channel interactions. Campaign Intelligence works on campaign-level performance data, often available within months. We assess what you have during scoping and design the model around it.

How often do models get refreshed?

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Most clients refresh monthly or quarterly as new spend and outcome data arrive. The pipeline is configured for periodic retraining as part of deployment, so refreshes happen on a schedule rather than requiring a custom rerun each time.

How accurate are these measurements?

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Each approach reports uncertainty differently. Bayesian MMM produces posterior distributions on every parameter, so output is a range with calibrated uncertainty. MTA produces journey-level attributions with confidence based on data volume. Campaign Intelligence reports performance with statistical significance. Across all three, we benchmark against holdout windows, lift tests, and incrementality experiments where available, and report results in terms relevant to budget decisions.

How do the outputs reach the teams making decisions?

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Outputs are integrated into your existing BI layer (Tableau, Power BI, Sigma, Looker) and operational systems (CRM, ad platforms, marketing automation), so budget recommendations, attribution scores, and campaign signals reach decision-makers at the moment they need them. Integration is engineered into the build from scoping forward.